Leading Principal Investigator | Tim McDaniels | UBC

Tim McDaniels
University of British Columbia (UBC)
School of Community and Regional Planning (SCARP) - Institute of Resources, Environment and Sustainability (IRES)

Area of research: Decision sciences, risk management, policy analysis, SES analysis, climate adaptation, resilience, decision analysis with stakeholders

Position: Professor of Risk and Decision Making, Former Director of IRES, Former Principal of the College for Interdisciplinary Studies

Address: 6333 Memorial Road. Room 415, V6T 1Z2, Vancouver, Canada


Website: Timothy McDaniels

Highest academic qualification: Ph.D.


Role in the consortium: Leading PI. Overall vision, integration, linking teams. Principal Investigator.


Tim is a specialist in decision sciences and policy analysis for environmental and technology-related societal risks. He is Professor of Risk and Decision Sciences, appointed in two graduate interdisciplinary programs at UBC; he formerly served as Director of IRES, and as Principal of the College for Interdisciplinary Studies. He is an adjunct professor and co-investigator in the Center for Climate and Energy Decision Making at Carnegie Mellon University. And a research associate in the climate change group at CATIE, Costa Rica. Tim’s research addresses issues of risk management based on societal values and expert understanding. His work has addressed issues of values, value elicitation, risk perception, eliciting judgments from experts, and characterizing more effective approaches for managing issues of global change that cross multiple scales of governance and impact. He has worked extensively on citizen involvement in complex policy decisions, and has designed and led successful stakeholder decision processes involving scientists, agency representatives and civil society groups. In 2008, he appointed to the US National Academy of Science Committee on the Human Dimensions of Global Change. He served as the Decision Sciences area editor of the journal Risk Analysis for five years, and is a fellow of the Society for Risk Analysis.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Vignola, R. T.McDaniels and R. Scholz, (2012) “Negotiation analysis for mechanisms to deliver ecosystem services: a value-focused bargaining structure to achieve joint gains”, Ecological Economics in press. March 2012.

McDaniels, T. T.Mills, D. Ohlson and R. Gregory. (2012)“Exploring robust alternatives for climate adaptation in forest-land management through expert judgments”. Risk Analysis In press. March 2012.

Gregory, R., Failing, L., Harstone, M., Long, G., McDaniels, T. and Ohlson, D. 2012, Structured Decision Making: A Practical Guide for Environmental Management, Wiley-Blackwell: Cambridge, 420 pages.

T.McDaniels, S.Wilmot, M.Healey and S. Hinch, “Vulnerability of Fraser River sockeye salmon to climate change: a life cycle perspective using expert judgements” Journal of Environmental Management Volume 91, Issue 12, pp 2771-278. 21.12.2012 Page 20/58

McDaniels, T., H. Dowlatabadi, and S. Stevens, 2005, “Multiple scales and regulatory gaps in environmental change: the case of salmon aquaculture” Global Environmental Change, 15,1, pp 9-21

Raffaele Vignola | CATIE

Raffaele Vignola
CATIE (Tropical Agricultural Research and Higher Education Center)
Latin American Chair on Environmental Decisions for Global Change (CLADA)

Area of research: Eco-system based adaptation, land use planning policy, stakeholder engagement
Position: Researcher and professor

Address: Grupo Cambio Global, CATIE, Cartago, Turrialba, Costa Rica. Postal Code: 7170.

Phone: +1 (506) 2558-2528


Website: CLADA

Highest academic qualification: PhD, Science, Institute for Environmental Decisions the Swiss Federal Institute of Technology (ETHZ)



Role in the consortium: Co-leading PI in Costa Rica. Climate adaptation, agriculture.


Dr. Raffaele Vignola is a researcher and professor at the Climate Change Program, Tropical Agriculture Higher Education and Research Centre (CATIE) and adjunct professor at the Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability of University of British Columbia (IRES). He has coordinated disaster prevention projects funded by DIPECHO-EU and was principal researcher in the EU project Tropical Forests and Adaptation to Climate Change (2005-2009). He has been awarded a fellowship by the Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada to work on the human dimension of global change impacts on ecosystem services with IRES. He has been adopting trans- and multi-disciplinary applied research approaches to support on-going policy-making processes with actors at different scales of civil society, the academy, policy-makers and public administration. His focus has been promoting the role of land use planning in ensuring water provision to sectors relevant to development, particularly in sites throughout Latin America. He has made use of combined social and bio-physical science research to understand system functioning and dynamics and communicate with stakeholders. He is exploring ways to effectively engage stakeholders in scientific and decision-making processes, requiring the use of participatory methods that promote trust and knowledge-sharing among participants.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Kuzdas C., Wiek A., Warner B., Vignola R., Morataya R. 2015. Integrated and participatory analysis of water governance regimes: The case of the Costa Rican dry tropics. World Development, Vol. 66, pp. 254–266, DOI:10.1016/j.worlddev.2014.08.018

Kuzdas, C., Wiek, A., Warner, B., Vignola, R., & Morataya, R. 2014. Sustainability Appraisal of Water Governance Regimes: The Case of Guanacaste, Costa Rica. Journal of Environmental Management, 1-18.

Vignola, R., McDaniels, T., Scholz, R. 2013. Governance structures for ecosystem-based adaptation: using policy-network analysis to identify key organizations for bridging information across scales and policy areas. Journal of Environmental Science and Policy, 31, 71-84.

Vignola R, TL McDaniels, RW Scholz, 2012. Negotiation analysis for mechanisms to deliver ecosystem services: the case of soil conservation in Costa Rica. Ecological Economics 75: 22-31

Vignola R, S Klinsky, J Tam, TL McDaniels, 2012. Public perception, knowledge and policy support for mitigation and adaption to Climate Change in Costa Rica: Comparisons with North American and European studies. Journal of Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change. doi:10.1007/s11027-012-9364-8

Grégoire Leclerc | CIRAD

Gregoir Leclerc
CIRAD, (Agriculture Research for Development)
Unit of Management of Renewable Resources and Environment (UPR GREEN)

Area of research: Agriculture and rural development in Latin America

Position: Senior Scientist

Address: CIRAD, Campus International de Baillarguet, 34398 Montpellier, Cedex 5, France.

Phone: +1 (506) 255-8232/8255

Fax: +1 (506) 255-8206


Website: CLADA

Highest academic qualification: Ph. D. Applied Physics/ Post-Doc Remote Sensing



Role in the consortium: Leading PI for CIRAD. Science and society, rural development and agriculture.


Dr Grégoire Leclerc, physicist and geomatician by university training, has been involved in watershed/natural resources management (NRM) research for the last 20 years while working with international research organizations in Latin America, France, and Africa. He has a long experience in managing international collaborative projects with developing countries. He was Lead PI of the Danida/IDB Honduras Poverty Project (2000-2002, 200k€), the Trust Dutch Fund for Methodological Support to Ecoregional Programs « cross-scale » project in Honduras (1998-2002,500k€), the CIRAD Action Thématique Programmée DOMINO project (2005-2007, 140k€), and PI of the GEF project Desert Margins Program (2004-2007, 4M€). Through these projects he has developed a good grasp of participatory processes and how modelling can be embeded into them. He is now leading the EU project EcoAdapt on adaptation to climate change based on watershed services with civil Society Organizations in Argentina, Bolvia and Chile (2012-2015, 1.9M€). He has published two books and 25 articles in peer-reviewed journals, and produced alternative media such as the Honduras “Mitch” Atlas who was distributed to emergency aid organizations just after Hurricane Mitch wiped the country in 1998 (The Economist US, November 28, 1998). He speaks French, English and Spanish fluently.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Sultan B., Barbier B., Fortilus J., Modou Mbaye S., Leclerc G. 2010. Estimating the potential economic value of seasonal forecasts in West Africa: A long-term ex-ante assessment in Senegal. Weather, climate, and society, 2 (1) : 69-87.

Leclerc G., 2010. Scaling up local perceptions of poverty to country level: A proof of concept for rural Honduras. Poverty and Public Policy, 2 (2): 103-143.

Leclerc G., Bah A., Barbier B., Boutinot L., Botta A., Dare W., Diop Gaye I. , Fourage C., Magrin G., Soumare M. A., Toure I., 2009. Managing tricky decentralised competencies: case study of a participatory modeling experiment on land use in the Lake Guiers area in Northern Senegal. Sustainability Science, 4 (2): 243-261.

Leclerc G., Hall. C (Eds), 2007. Making World Development Work: scientific alternatives to neo-classical economic theory. New Mexico University Press. 645p.

Hall C. A. S. (Ed), Leclerc G., Perez C. L., (Ass. Eds), 2000. Quantifying sustainable development: the future of tropical economies. Academic Press. 792p+CD-ROM

Pierre Bommel | CIRAD

CIRAD, (Agriculture Research for Development)
Unit of Management of Renewable Resources and Environment (UPR GREEN)

Area of research: Agent-based modelling of renewable resources. Analysis of complex systems


Position: Researcher Environment and Societies Department. Green Research Unit


Address: CIRAD, Campus International de Baillarguet, 34398 Montpellier, Cedex 5, France. Agronomy Faculty of the University of Costa Rica, Research Center in Economy and Agro-entrepreneurial Development (CIEDA)


Phone: + (33) 4 67593958



Highest academic qualification: Ph. D. Computer science


Role in the consortium: Co-Principal Investigator for CIRAD

Dr Pierre Bommel is a modeller scientist at CIRAD. As member of the Green Research Unit, he contributes to promote the Companion Modelling approach ( Through the development of CORMAS, a Framework for multi-agent models (, he has been focusing on the development and the use of ABM for renewable resource management issues. Currently, he is based in Brazil, in partnership with the PUC University of Rio de Janeiro, Laboratory of Software Engineering. He develops models related to environmental management, such as breeding adaptation to drought in Uruguay or as breeding and deforestation in the Amazon.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Winkel T.; Álvarez-Flores R.; Bommel P.; Bourliaud J.; ChevarríA Lazo M.; Cortes G.; Cruz P.; Del Castillo C.; Gasselin P.; Joffre R.; Léger F.; Nina Laura J.P.; Rambal S.; Rivière G.; Tichit M.; Tourrand J.F.; Vassas Toral A.; Vieira Pak M, 2014. Altiplano Sur de Bolivia. CAPÍTULO: 5.1.b. IN: BAZILE D. et al. (Editores), “Estado del arte de la quinua en el mundo en 2013”: FAO (Santiago de Chile) y CIRAD, (Montpellier, Francia): pp. 432-449


Bommel, P., Piketty, M-G, Sist, P., Burlamaqui Bendahan, A., Barbosa, T. 2014. New opportunities for small-scale farmers of the Amazon to strengthen hazards resilience while preserving forests − field experiments combined with agent-based modelling. In: Katila, P., Galloway, G., de Jong, W., Pacheco, P. and Mery, G. (eds.). 2014. Forests under pressure – Local responses to global issues. IUFRO World Series Volume 32, 83-96. ISBN 978-3-902762-30-6.


Melo G., Coudel E. and Bommel P., 2014. What futures for the Amazonian floodplains? A participatory prospective approach of a biodiversity hotspot under economic and climate change. Poster presented at Resilience2014, Montpellier, France, from 4th to 8th of May 2014


Bommel P., Dieguez F., Bartaburu D., Duarte E., Montes E., Pereira M., Corral J., Lucena C. and Morales H., 2014. A Further Step Towards Participatory Modelling. Fostering Stakeholder Involvement in Designing Models by Using Executable UML. Journal of Artificial Societies and Social Simulation 17 (1) 6. <>


Dieguez Cameroni F.J., Terra R., Tabarez S., Bommel P., Corral J., Bartaburu D., Pereira M., Montes E., Duarte E., Morales Grosskopf. H., 2014. Virtual experiments using a participatory multi-agent model to explore interactions between climatic variability and management decisions in extensive grazing systems in the basaltic region of Uruguay. Agricultural Systems, Volume 130, September 2014, Pages 89-104, ISSN 0308-521X,



Douw Gerbrand Steyn | UBC

Douw Steyn
University of British Columbia (UBC)
Department of Earth, Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences (EOS)

Area of research: Atmospheric Science

Position: Professor

Address: 2020-2007 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, Canada, V6T 1Z4

Phone: +1 (604) 827-5517


Website: Douw Steyn

Highest academic qualification: Ph.D.


Role in the consortium: Project Co-PI, leading PI for Canada. Precipitation statistics, hydrometeorological modelling, changing hydroclimates, hydroclimatic scenarios.


Douw Steyn, PhD, ACM, FCMOS is a Professor of Atmospheric Science at The University of British Columbia, in the Department of Earth Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, is member of the Institute for Applied Mathematics, the Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, and Liu Institute for Global Issues. He served as Associate Dean (Research and Faculty Development) in the Faculty of Graduate Studies and Principal of the College for Interdisciplinary Studies. His professional, teaching and research activities are in the field of air pollution meteorology, boundary layer meteorology, mesoscale meteorology, environmental science and interdisciplinary science. His core research interest is regional air pollution, especially in regions of complex terrain. This work involves modelling of near-surface emissions of pollutants and their precursors, atmospheric flow and turbulence modelling, and modelling of chemical transformation of air pollutants. He uses a variety of statistical tools to understand both data and model output. He is chair of the scientific committee that leads the NATO/SPS ITM series on Air Pollution Modelling and its Application. He publishes regularly in international peer reviewed literature, he is editor of the journal Atmosphere-Ocean, and serves on the editorial board of Boundary Layer Meteorology. He is an Accredited Consulting Meteorologist.


5 most recent relevant publications:

D.G. Steyn, P. Builtjes, M. Schaap  and G. Yarwood, 2012: Regional Air Quality Modeling: North American and European Perspectives. Environmental Manager, July 2012, 6-8.

Steyn, D. G., B. Ainslie, C. Reuten and P. L. Jackson, 2013: A retrospective analysis of ozone formation in the Lower Fraser Valley, B.C. Part I: Dynamical Model Evaluation. Atmosphere-Ocean. 51 (2), 153-169.

Ainslie B., D. G. Steyn, C. Reutenand P. L. Jackson 2013: A retrospective analysis of ozone formation in the Lower Fraser Valley, B.C. Part II: Influence of emissions reductions on ozone formation. Atmosphere-Ocean. 51 (2), 170-186.

Shawn Booth, Joe Hui, Zoraida Alojado, Vicky Lam, William Cheung, Dirk Zeller, Douw Steyn and Daniel Pauly, 2013: Global deposition of airborne dioxin. Marine Pollution Bulletin: Volume 75 (Issue 1-2), pp. 182-186.

Claude-Michel Nzotungicimpaye, Babatunde J. Abiodun and Douw G. Steyn, 2014:  Tropospheric ozone and its regional transport over Cape Town.Atmospheric Environment. Volume 87, April 2014, Pages 228–238

Mitchell Small | CMU


Mitchell Small

Carnegie Mellon University
Institute Department of Engineering & Public Policy

Area of research: Environmental science, engineering, policy and decision support

Position: Professor

Address: Baker Hall 129, Frew Street, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213 USA

Phone: +1 (412) 268-2670

Fax: +1 (412) 268-3757


Website: Mitchell Small

Highest academic qualification: PhD, 1982, University of Michigan, Environmental & Water Resources


Role in the consortium: Leading PI for Carnegie Mellon. Complex systems, decision analysis, statistics.


Mitchell Small is the H. John Heinz III Professor of Environmental Engineering at Carnegie Mellon University (CMU), where he serves as the associate department head for graduate education in the Department of Engineering & Public Policy. Professor Small’s research involves mathematical modeling of environmental systems, risk assessment, and decision support. Current projects include the design and evaluation of leak detection at geologic CO2 sequestration sites; risk assessment and trend evaluation for tropical cyclones; and the development of decision support tools for coral reef and related ecosystem management. Recent research has also addressed the conditions for consensus among multiple stakeholders with conflicting beliefs and objectives. He has published over 180 manuscripts in peer reviewed journals (130), books and conference proceedings. Dr. Small has served as a member of the US EPA Science Advisory Board (SAB) and has been a member of a number of US National Academy committees addressing issues of environmental risk assessment and management. He is a Fellow and former Secretary of the Society for Risk Analysis, and a feature columnist for the Journal of Industrial Ecology. He recently completed a 16-year appointment as an associate editor for the journal Environmental Science & Technology, where he helped to initiate the policy analysis section of the journal.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Casman, E., B. Fischhoff, M. Small, H. Dowlatabadi, J. Rose and M. G. Morgan. 2001. Climate change and cryptosporidiosis: A qualitative analysis. Climatic Change, 50: 219-249.

Green, S.T., M.J. Small and E.A. Casman. 2009. Determinants of national diarrheal disease burden. Environmental Science & Technology, 43(4): 993–999.

Yang Y-M., M.J. Small, E.O., Ogretim, D.O. Gray, G.S. Bromhal, B.R. Strazisar, A.W. Wells. 2011. Probabilistic design of a near-surface CO2 leak detection system. Environmental Science & Technology, 45(15): 6380–6387.

Tokdar, S., I. Grossmann, J. Kadane, A. Charest and M. Small. 2011. Impact of beliefs about Atlantic tropical cyclone detection on conclusions about trends in tropical cyclone numbers. Bayesian Analysis, 6(4): 547 – 572.

Bakshi, B. and M.J. Small. 2011. Incorporating ecosystem services into life cycle assesment. Journal of Industrial Ecology, 15: 477-478 

Mark Johnson | UBC

Mark Johnson
University of British Columbia (UBC)
Institute of Resources, Environment and Sustainability (IRES)

Area of research: Ecohydrology, watershed biogeochemistry

Position: Assistant Professor

Address: 418-2202 Main Mall, Vancouver, BC, Canada, V6T 1Z4

Phone: +1 (778) 999-2102


Website: Mark Johnson

Highest academic qualification: Ph.D


Role in the consortium: Co-PI for UBC. Ecohydrology, SES linkages.


Johnson has research expertise evaluating hydrological interactions between natural and anthropogenic processes related to water resources. He has conducted research in tropical ecosystems and agroecosystems for over 10 years. This work is largely focused on quantifying and characterizing the role of headwater hydrologic flowpaths in the water and carbon cycles. He coordinated research activities for the Juruena headwaters study of the Large Scale Biosphere-Atmosphere Experiment in Amazonia (LBA). He was an invited participant at the NSF-funded workshop on Carbon Transport and Processing in Tropical Streams held in Costa Rica in 2010. He has received over $1 Mi in research support as a Principle Investigator plus $2 Mi as Co-Investigator to advance research activities in the areas of ecohydrology and integrated watershed assessment. He was a Symposium Scholar of the US NSF’s Interdisciplinary Dissertation Initiative for the Advancement of Climate Change Research (DISCCRS). He was selected as a member of the inaugural cohort of University Sustainability Research Fellows at the University of British Columbia, which comprised one representative at each of three professorial ranks. Johnson provided technical assistance to farmer organizations in Paraguay from 1995-1999, and is fluent in Spanish. He has been engaged in research collaborations in Latin America since that time.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Lathuilliere, M.J., M.S. Johnson* and S.D. Donner (2012). Water use by terrestrial ecosystems: temporal variability in rainforest and agricultural contributions to evapotranspiration in Mato Grosso, Brazil. Environmental Research Letters 7:024024.

[*Thesis supervisor] Harma, K.J., M.S. Johnson*, and S.J. Cohen (2012). Future water supply and demand in the Okanagan Basin, British Columbia: a scenario-based analysis of multiple, interacting stressors. Water Resources Management 26:667-689.

[*Thesis supervisor] Johnson, M.S., J. Lehmann, M. Abdo and E.G. Couto (2011). Fluorescence index as an indicator of dissolved organic carbon quality in hydrologic flowpaths of forested tropical watersheds. Biogeochemistry 105: 149-157.

Johnson, M.S. (2009). Public participation and perceptions of watershed modeling. Society & Natural Resources 22:79-87.

Johnson, M.S., W.F. Coon, V.K. Mehta, T.S. Steenhuis, E.S. Brooks, and J. Boll (2003). Application of two hydrologic models with different runoff mechanisms to a hillslope dominated watershed. Journal of Hydrology 284: 57–76.

Kai Chan | UBC

Kai Chan
University of British Columbia (UBC)
Institute of Resources, Environment and Sustainability (IRES)

Area of research: Conservation science, sustainability science

Position: Associate Professor, Canada Research Chair

Address: 2202 Main Mall, 4th floor, Vancouver, BC, Canada V6T1Z4

Phone: +1 (604) 822-0400


Website: Kai Chan

Highest academic qualification: Ph.D. in Ecology and Evolutionary Biology.


Role in the consortium: Co-PI for UBC. Ecosystem services, SES linkages.


Kai received his PhD from Princeton University in 2003 and a concurrent certificate in Science, Technology and Environmental Policy. He did a postdoctoral fellowship at Stanford University in Conservation Biology. Kai has a diverse publication record, with over 50 research publications and over 100 articles in the popular press. His contributions are mainly to interdisciplinary conservation and ecosystem management; he has several highly cited papers in top journals in this field, and he has published in Nature and Science. He is a Canada Research Chair (tier 2), a Peter Wall Early Career Scholar, and the 2011-12 Fulbright Canada Visiting Research Chair at the University of California, Santa Barbara. He has received numerous awards and fellowships (including the Howard Alper Postdoctoral Prize (declined)—the top prize of its kind in Canada, and the Julie Payette NSERC Research Scholarship), plus >$3M dollars in research grants. In 2012, he was appointed to the Global Young Academy, an international organization of top researchers representing young scientists, and named a Leopold Leadership Fellow. Kai leads CHAN’S lab, Connecting Human and Natural Systems; he is a director on the board of Canadian Parks and Wilderness Society-BC, a champion of the ecosystem-based management challenge dialogue of PacMARA, and a senior fellow of the Environmental Leadership Program.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Chan, K. M. A., J. Goldstein, T. Satterfield, N. Hannahs, K. Kikiloi, R. Naidoo, N. Vadeboncoeur and U. Woodside (2011). Cultural services and non-use values. Natural Capital: Theory & Practice of Mapping Ecosystem Services.

P. Kareiva, H. Tallis, T. H. Ricketts, G. C. Daily and S. Polasky. Oxford University Press: 206-228.

Chan, K. M. A., A. Guerry, P. Balvanera, et al. (2012). “Where are ‘cultural’ and ‘social’ in ecosystem services: A framework for constructive engagement.” BioScience 6(8): 744-756.

Chan, K. M. A., L. Hoshizaki and B. Klinkenberg (2011). “Ecosystem Services in Conservation Planning: Targeted Benefits or Co-benefits/Costs?” PloS ONE 6(9): e24378. Chan, K. M. A., T. Satterfield and J. Goldstein (2012). “Rethinking ecosystem services to better address and navigate cultural values.” Ecological Economics 74: 8-18.

Daniel, T. C., A. Muhar, A. Arnberger, et al. (2012). “Contributions of cultural services to the ecosystem services agenda.” Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109(23): 8812-8819.

Hadi Dowlatabadi | UBC

Hadi Dowlatabadi
University of British Columbia (UBC)
Liu Institute for Global Issues

Area of research: Applied Mathematics and Integrated Assessment of Global Change

Position: Research Chair and Professor

Address: Ecosystem Research Laboratory, Room 422 6476 NW Marine Drive, Vancouver, BC., Canadá, V6T 1Z2

Phone: +1 (604) 822-0008


Highest academic qualification: Ph.D., University of Cambridge


Role in the consortium: Co-PI for UBC. Interface of human/ nature/ technical systems.


For me, the rewards of research are sweetest when they directly improve human welfare. Hadi is Canada Research Chair & Prof in Applied Mathematics and Integrated Assessment of Global Change, UBC; Professor at Carnegie Mellon University’s Department of Engineering & Public Policy; and University Fellow at Resources for the Future. His research has been at the interface of human/ nature/ technical systems. His focus has been on energy-environment-health interactions and public policy attempting to address global change processes. Jan Rotmans and Hadi are credited with pioneering integrated assessment models of climate change. These formal tools capture how various elements of the natural, social and economic worlds interact. Within these, Hadi incorporated uncertainty and distributional consequences of climate change and mitigation/adaptation policy. This led to development of formal Integrated Assessment models in a number of fields from determinants of diseases to processes and consequences of desertification. Hadi served on the scientific steering committee of a Dahlem Conference organized to bridge the gap between the physical and social science of desertification. He has been a lead author on the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change and also on the Millennium Ecosystem Assessment. He has over 150 peer-reviewed papers and helped 38 PhDs complete their degrees.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Hagerman, S., H. Dowlatabadi, et al. (2010). “Integrative propositions for adapting conservation policy to the impacts of climate change.” Global Environmental Change.

Reynolds, J. F., D. M. Stafford-Smith, et al. (2007). “Global Desertification: Building a Science for Dryland Development.” Science 316: 5.

Casman, E. A. and H. Dowlatabadi, Eds. (2002). The Contextual Determinants of Malaria. Washington, D.C., Resources for the Future.

Fernandez, R. J., E.R.M. Archer, et al. (2002). Degradation and Recovery in Socio-ecological Systems: a view from the household/farm Level. Global desertification: do humans cause deserts? J. F. Reynolds and M. Stafford-Smith. Berlin, Dahlem University Press: 297-323.

Siegel, E., H. Dowlatabadi, et al. (1995). “A Probabilistic Model of Ecosystem Prevalence.” Journal of Biogeography 22: 875-879.

Iris Grossmann | CMU

Iris Grossmann
Carnegie Mellon University Institute Department of Engineering & Public Policy
Center for Climate and Energy Decision Making

Area of research: Impacts of climate change and variability on human and environmental systems, climate adaptation, hurricanes, droughts.

Position: Research Scientist

Address: 5000 Forbes Ave, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213 USA

Phone: +1 412 268 5489 E-mail:

Highest academic qualification: Ph.D., 2005 in Geosciences/Meteorology


Role in the consortium: Co-Principal Investigator for Carnegie Mellon University


Dr. Grossmann has worked in interdisciplinary projects at the intersection of climate impacts and adaptation, renewable energy, and the environment for the last 10 years. Her work at Carnegie Mellon University focuses on changes in climate and extreme weather, in particular tropical cyclones, droughts, floods, and adaptation. Current projects include 1) effects of large-scale climate patterns and global warming on precipitation and droughts in the US Southwest, 2) development of a new statistical hurricane forecast scheme with more lead time for disaster preparation, 3) non-stationarity in Atlantic hurricane risks due to global warming and natural variability and 4) hourly scaling of solar insolation data. She employs climate model projections and statistical analysis, systems models, Geographic Information Systems (GIS), scenario analysis, stakeholder workshops, surveys, and expert elicitations. She holds a Ph.D. in geosciences/meteorology from the University of Hamburg and the International Max Planck Research School on Earth System Modeling (Hamburg, Germany, 2005) and an M.S. in mathematics (University of Hamburg, 2001). For her PhD thesis she conducted an interdisciplinary assessment of risks and perspectives for the German Greater Hamburg region with emphasis on conserving the Elbe river ecosystems, changes in storm surge risks, and structural and economic changes.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Grossmann, I. Effect of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation and global warming on drought in the US Southwest. In preparation – to be submitted to Hydrology and Earth System Sciences Special Issue ‘Precipitation uncertainty and variability: observations, ensemble simulation and downscaling’.

Grossmann, I., Klotzbach, P., (2009). A review of North Atlantic modes of natural variability and their driving mechanisms. Journal of Geophysical Research-Atmospheres 114, D24107, doi:10.1029/2009JD012728.

Klima, K., Bruine de Bruin, W., Morgan, M.G., Grossmann, I., (2012). Public perceptions of hurricane modification. Risk Analysis (in press).

Grossmann, I., Morgan, G. M., (2011). Tropical cyclones, climate change, and scientific uncertainty: What do we know, what does it mean, what should be done? Climatic Change, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0020-1.

Grossmann, I., (2009). Atlantic hurricane risks: preparing for the plausible. Environmental Science and Technology 43 (20): 7604–7608.

Gabrielle Wong-Parodi | CMU

Gabrielle Gwong-Parodi

Carnegie Mellon University Institute Department of Engineering & Public Policy
Center for Climate and Energy Decision Making

Area of research: Risk perceptions and communications

Position: Research Scientist

Address: Forbes Ave, Pittsburgh, PA, 15213 USA

Phone: 1 (510) 316-1631


Website: Gabrielle Wong-Parodi

Highest academic qualification: PhD


Role in the consortium: Co-Principal Investigator for Carnegie Mellon University


Gabrielle Wong-Parodi is a research scientist in the Center for Climate and Energy Decision-Making at Carnegie Mellon University. Her specialization is in risk perceptions and communications as they relate to behavioral sustainability and community resiliency. Her research on risk perceptions involves understanding what people think about personal or societal risk, as well as identifying key socio-demographic variables that influence those perceptions. Her research on risk communications is on ways to facilitate decision-makers’ understanding, interpretation of information, and articulation of views to others. Current projects include developing a decision-analytic tool with Navajo Nation citizens for energy technology development on the Nation and improving resiliency to extreme weather events with a predictive model of environmental cues. She is currently a member of Society for Judgment and Decision-Making. In December 2012, Gabrielle received $69,275 to help design and evaluate Climate Central’s web-based Surging Seas decision-making tool. She holds a PhD and MA in Energy and Resources and a BA in Psychology (High Honors), all from UC Berkeley. She won the 2010 Outstanding Graduate Student Instructor Award for teaching and the 2005 Outstanding Performance Award for her work on an energy conservation decision-analytic tool for the United States Postal Service.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Bruine de Bruin, W. & Wong-Parodi, G. (In press). The role of initial impressions in responses to educational communications: The case of carbon capture and sequestration, Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied.

Wong-Parodi, G., Bruine de Bruin, W. & Canfield, C. (2013). Effects of simplifying outreach materials for energy conservation programs that target low-income consumers, Energy Policy, 62, 1157-1164.

Wong-Parodi, G., Bruine de Bruin, W. & Canfield, C. (2013). Effects of simplifying outreach materials for energy conservation programs that target low-income consumers, Energy Policy, 62, 1157-1164.

Krishnamurti, T., Davis, A. L., Wong-Parodi, G., Wang, J., & Canfield, C. (2013). Creating an in-home display: Experimental evidence and guidelines for design.Applied Energy, 108, 448-458.

Wong-Parodi, G., Dowlatabadi, H., McDaniels, T. & Ray, I. (2011). Influencing attitudes towards carbon capture and sequestration: A social marketing approach. Environmental Science and Technology, 45(16), 6743-51.

Bruno Barbier | CIRAD

Bruno Barbier 21042015

CIRAD, (Agriculture Research for Development)
Unit of Management of Renewable Resources and Environment (UPR GREEN)

Area of research: Agriculture and rural development in Latin America


Position: Senior Scientist


Address: CIRAD, avenue Jean XII Dakar Senegal.


Phone: +(226) 77 112 36 22




Highest academic qualification: Ph. D. Agricultural economics


Role in the consortium: Farm modelling to deal with adaptation strategies and sustainability


Bruno Barbier, is an agricultural and natural resource economist who earned his Ph.D from the Ecole Nationale Supérieure d’Agriculture (ENSA) of Montpellier in 1994. He first joined IFPRI as a post-doctoral fellow and four years later CIAT (International Center for Tropical Agriculture) until 2000, as a scientist. For the last 10 years he was posted in West Africa with CIRAD, and is a research fellow with CIRAD since 2001. He has been concentrating on Integrated Water Resource Management at different scales, as well as adaptation strategies to climate variability. His specialty is quantitative economics and in particular ex post and ex ante impact evaluation of adaptation strategies. In Futuragua Bruno is in charge of generating a bio-economic model for evaluating adaptation strategies in the farming sector. Moreover, he will support the efforts for multi-agent modelling of renewable resources.


5 most recent relevant publications:

Diarra, A. Barbier, B. Yacouba, H. (2013). Adaptation de l’agriculture sahélienne aux changements climatiques : une approche par la modélisation stochastique. Sécheresse (2013-1).


Torou, B.M., Favreau, G., Barbier, B., Pavelic, P., Mahamadou, I. Sidibé F. 2013. Constraints and opportunities for groundwater irrigation arising from hydrologic shifts in the Iullemmeden Basin, south-western Niger. Water International special issue “Intensifying Groundwater Use in Sub-Saharan Africa for Improving Small-holder Agrarian Livelihoods”.


Dabiré, W. P. I., Barbier, B., Andrieu. 2013. Evaluation ex-ante de la prévision saisonnière en petit paysannat burkinabè. Revue Elevage et de médecine vetérinaire des pays tropicaux. 64 (1-4) : 43-50


Sultan B., Alhassane A., Barbier B., Baron C., Dingkuhn M., Fortilus J., Kouressy M., Leblois A., Marteau R., Muller B., Oettli P., Quirion P., Roudier P., Traoré S.B., Vaksmann M. 2012. La question de la vulnérabilité et de l’adaptation de l’agriculture sahélienne au climat au sein du programme AMMA = Vulnerability and adaptation of agriculture to climate variability and change in the Sahel: results from the AMMA program. Météorologie, 8 (Spec) : 64-72. [20121126].


Zorom, M., Barbier, B., Mertz, O. Karambiri, H. Servat, E. Yacouba, H., Some, B. 2012. Diversification and adaptation strategies to climate variability: A farm typology for the Sahel. Agricultural System. 116, 7–15